Wednesday, August 31, 2016

2016 College Football Preview-Part 1

                 
            The best time of the year is finally here as college football season kicks off for real this week. There’s several ways to enjoy college football season. There’s a million games on tv every Saturday. You can tailgate or go to games. It’s also a time where it’s acceptable to spend the entire day at a bar. Lastly, it’s one of the greatest sports for degenerate gamblers. Throw some money down and you’ve got a full day of entertainment. To get ready for this season, I wrote up a preview of every conference (some more in-depth than others). Enjoy, and happy Football Eve.

                                      Sun Belt
I’ll be honest-unless a Sun Belt team is playing against Wisconsin (Georgia State this year), I usually won’t watch any Sun Belt football until the kickoff of the New Orleans Bowl (for some strange reason, usually one of the better bowl games). This year, it looks like the Sun Belt took a page out of MACtion’s playbook and is gonna have a few Wednesday games on ESPN this year so I might actually catch some regular season Sun Belt.
The Pick: I’ll go with Appalachian State. Finished 11-2 last year, solid program that owns a win over Michigan like 10 years ago.
Also keep an eye on: Georgia Southern and Arkansas State. Georgia Southern runs a traditional option offense and scores a lot of points. I bet against them in bowl season last year and lost.

                                    MACtion
One of my favorite things every year is when November rolls around and MAC football is on ESPN on Tuesday and Wednesday nights. Nothing better to get you through the week than a 51-45 shootout on a cold November Tuesday in Dekalb, Illinois in a 3-quarters empty stadium.
As a Midwest guy, I’ll always appreciate the MAC. There may not be a lot of defense played in this conference but you got to give these guys credit for willingly going to play in places like Akron, Toledo, and Muncie. And the ultimate goal is a trip to Detroit at the end of the year. Gotta love it.
The Pick: I see a bit of a changing of the guard this year. The NIU Huskies have typically been top dogs of the conference, but I see them taking a step back. They did not look good in the MAC championship and their bowl game (even though they were down to their 5th string QB, no excuses). I like Western Michigan this year. Their coach, PJ Fleck has recruited pretty well for a MAC school. He wears a shirt and tie every game so he’s a guy that means business. They return a senior QB and have a solid ground game led by Jarvion Franklin. I’ll take them to hoist the prized MAC championship trophy in Detroit after beating Bowling Green, who is my pick to win the east division.
                                                Conference USA
            This is a weird conference. I feel like the majority of these teams either weren’t D-1 or didn’t have a football program before the year 2000. Not much history here, except for Southern Miss, which produced the greatest gunslinger of all time, Brett Favre. I also feel like I never see any of these teams on TV. Not sure which channel they hide these games on. This is definitely the conference that got hit the hardest by all the realignment. Used to be a pretty solid football/basketball conference, kinda sad to see what it’s left with.
My pick: I honestly don’t know much about this league anymore. What I do know: Western Kentucky can score with just about anybody (except for their week 2 matchup with Alabama, which probably won’t go well). They actually finished last year ranked in the Top 25, and as long as they find an adequate replacement for graduated QB Brandon Doughty, I think they’ll repeat as C-USA champs this year. They’ll beat Southern Miss in a rematch of last years title game.

                                                Mountain West
            Now we finally get to a league which has a couple of contenders for that “Group of 5” spot in the New Year’s bowls. If either Boise State or San Diego State can get past through their non-conference slates unscathed, they’ll be in prime position for one of those slots. I like San Diego State’s odds a little better. Their toughest non-conference game is at home against Cal, who is likely in rebuilding mode. Boise’s toughest game is at home, but it’s against a pretty good Washington State team that returns QB Luke Falk.
That being said, while Boise and SDSU are my picks to reach the title game, it won’t be a cakewalk through the conference. Air Force and the triple option always make for a tough game, and they’re coming off an appearance in the MWC championship game last season. Former Notre Dame coach and ESPN announcer Bob Davie has New Mexico looking to improve on their bowl appearance last year. The Utah State Aggies should be tough as well even though I think Chuckie Keeton finally graduated after 7 years at quarterback.
My pick: I’ll take San Diego State over Boise State. SDSU is actually ranked 25th to start the year, they have a favorable schedule and have one of the best running backs in the country in Donnell Pumphrey.

                                    American Athletic Conference
          There’s one team everybody’s got their eye on in this league this year-Houston. QB Greg Ward Jr. returns to the team that beat Florida State in the Peach Bowl last year and is the odds-on favorite for the Group of Five spot in the New Years bowls. The question is-can Houston crash the playoff if they run the table? They have the schedule which may give them a chance. It starts week 1 against #3 Oklahoma. They also play Louisville out of conference in November. In addition to winning those games, they’ll need the rest of the conference to look strong. Memphis and Navy had good seasons last year, but are breaking in new quarterbacks. I think Navy will have the lesser drop-off of the two, but replacing Keenan Reynolds won’t be easy.
Temple made some noise last year, beating Penn State and playing Notre Dame down to the wire. They’re a solid defensive team. They won’t play Houston this year, unless they meet in the conference title game. I actually like South Florida to win the East division. The Bulls have a strong running game (QB Quinton Flowers actually ran for over 1000 yards last year). They host Florida State Sept. 24-I don’t think they’ll beat the Seminoles but it’ll be closer than people expect.  I also can’t talk about the AAC without mentioning UConn, who has the most insane coach in college football. Bob Diaco literally thinks they’ll win a national championship. The best thing he’s done is create a rivalry game, trophy and everything (without the acknowledgement of the other school). UConn and UCF have almost no history against each other, but Diaco went ahead, had a trophy made and decided this game will now be known as the Civil ConFLiCT. Can’t make this shit up. I think UCF could care less.

The pick: Houston over USF in the title game. I don’t see Houston running the table. I think their playoff hopes will die week 1 against Oklahoma, but it will be a close game. I do, however like them to earn the spot in a New Years bowl (Likely the Cotton Bowl). 

Part 2 featuring the Power 5 Conferences will drop either tomorrow or Friday.